Cross-country comparison over absolute dates⮸
Daily Dead (7-Day Average)⮸
Cross-country comparison with approximately aligned start days⮸
Daily Dead (7-Day Average)⮸
Per-country analysis with exponential and sigmoidal projections, and new cases analysis⮸
IMPORTANT: The projections are only accurate if the fit is good (it often isn't), and assuming nothing changes
going forward. The sigmoid is omitted if a reasonable fit can't be computed, but this still doesn't mean that
the fit is good if it is shown.
The dashed lines show best fit projections from a few previous days for comparison.
Start date 2020-03-18 (1st day with 1 confirmed per million)
Latest number $4,123$ on 2020-06-05
Best fit exponential: \(113 \times 10^{0.020t}\) (doubling rate \(15.4\) days)
Start date 2020-04-10 (1st day with 0.1 dead per million)
Latest number $26$ on 2020-06-05
Best fit exponential: \(0.362 \times 10^{0.034t}\) (doubling rate \(8.9\) days)
Best fit sigmoid: \(\dfrac{42.7}{1 + 10^{-0.056 (t - 51.7)}}\) (asimptote \(42.7\))
Start date 2020-03-18 (1st day with 1 active per million)
Latest number $2,390$ on 2020-06-05
Start date 2020-03-15 (1st day with 1 confirmed per million)
Latest number $9,935$ on 2020-06-05
Best fit exponential: \(855 \times 10^{0.014t}\) (doubling rate \(22.2\) days)
Best fit sigmoid: \(\dfrac{12,181.8}{1 + 10^{-0.027 (t - 58.6)}}\) (asimptote \(12,181.8\))
Start date 2020-03-18 (1st day with 0.1 dead per million)
Latest number $690$ on 2020-06-05
Best fit exponential: \(141 \times 10^{0.009t}\) (doubling rate \(32.3\) days)
Best fit sigmoid: \(\dfrac{617.4}{1 + 10^{-0.039 (t - 31.1)}}\) (asimptote \(617.4\))
Start date 2020-03-17 (1st day with 1 active per million)
Latest number $2,792$ on 2020-06-05
Start date 2020-03-16 (1st day with 1 confirmed per million)
Latest number $43,434$ on 2020-06-05
Best fit exponential: \(460 \times 10^{0.024t}\) (doubling rate \(12.5\) days)
Best fit sigmoid: \(\dfrac{746,036.9}{1 + 10^{-0.025 (t - 131.3)}}\) (asimptote \(746,036.9\))
Start date 2020-04-03 (1st day with 0.1 dead per million)
Latest number $908$ on 2020-06-05
Best fit exponential: \(19.1 \times 10^{0.026t}\) (doubling rate \(11.5\) days)
Best fit sigmoid: \(\dfrac{11,829.7}{1 + 10^{-0.027 (t - 103.8)}}\) (asimptote \(11,829.7\))
Start date 2020-03-16 (1st day with 1 active per million)
Latest number $19,438$ on 2020-06-05
Start date 2020-03-19 (1st day with 1 confirmed per million)
Latest number $3,764$ on 2020-06-05
Best fit exponential: \(61.6 \times 10^{0.023t}\) (doubling rate \(13.2\) days)
Best fit sigmoid: \(\dfrac{13,483.7}{1 + 10^{-0.027 (t - 94.2)}}\) (asimptote \(13,483.7\))
Start date 2020-03-21 (1st day with 0.1 dead per million)
Latest number $81$ on 2020-06-05
Best fit exponential: \(9.75 \times 10^{0.012t}\) (doubling rate \(24.5\) days)
Best fit sigmoid: \(\dfrac{115.4}{1 + 10^{-0.021 (t - 60.7)}}\) (asimptote \(115.4\))
Start date 2020-03-19 (1st day with 1 active per million)
Latest number $3,171$ on 2020-06-05
Start date 2020-03-14 (1st day with 1 confirmed per million)
Latest number $31,115$ on 2020-06-05
Best fit exponential: \(508 \times 10^{0.021t}\) (doubling rate \(14.1\) days)
Best fit sigmoid: \(\dfrac{345,620.8}{1 + 10^{-0.022 (t - 129.1)}}\) (asimptote \(345,620.8\))
Start date 2020-03-22 (1st day with 0.1 dead per million)
Latest number $1,166$ on 2020-06-05
Best fit exponential: \(84 \times 10^{0.015t}\) (doubling rate \(20.0\) days)
Best fit sigmoid: \(\dfrac{1,953.4}{1 + 10^{-0.021 (t - 71.4)}}\) (asimptote \(1,953.4\))
Start date 2020-03-16 (1st day with 1 active per million)
Latest number $21,791$ on 2020-06-05
Start date 2020-03-20 (1st day with 1 confirmed per million)
Latest number $3,101$ on 2020-06-05
Best fit exponential: \(38.3 \times 10^{0.025t}\) (doubling rate \(12.0\) days)
Best fit sigmoid: \(\dfrac{3,721.1}{1 + 10^{-0.049 (t - 64.6)}}\) (asimptote \(3,721.1\))
Start date 2020-03-20 (1st day with 0.1 dead per million)
Latest number $21$ on 2020-06-05
Best fit exponential: \(0.66 \times 10^{0.020t}\) (doubling rate \(15.4\) days)
Best fit sigmoid: \(\dfrac{30.7}{1 + 10^{-0.030 (t - 69.0)}}\) (asimptote \(30.7\))
Start date 2020-03-21 (1st day with 1 active per million)
Latest number $2,247$ on 2020-06-05
Start date 2020-03-28 (1st day with 1 confirmed per million)
Latest number $883$ on 2020-06-05
Best fit exponential: \(0.194 \times 10^{0.053t}\) (doubling rate \(5.7\) days)
Best fit sigmoid: \(\dfrac{1,761.0}{1 + 10^{-0.070 (t - 70.1)}}\) (asimptote \(1,761.0\))
Start date 2020-03-30 (1st day with 0.1 dead per million)
Latest number $43$ on 2020-06-05
Best fit exponential: \(0.00593 \times 10^{0.057t}\) (doubling rate \(5.3\) days)
Best fit sigmoid: \(\dfrac{192.4}{1 + 10^{-0.064 (t - 76.4)}}\) (asimptote \(192.4\))
Start date 2020-03-28 (1st day with 1 active per million)
Latest number $771$ on 2020-06-05
Start date 2020-03-20 (1st day with 1 confirmed per million)
Latest number $536$ on 2020-06-05
Best fit exponential: \(25.1 \times 10^{0.017t}\) (doubling rate \(17.3\) days)
Best fit sigmoid: \(\dfrac{518.4}{1 + 10^{-0.041 (t - 53.6)}}\) (asimptote \(518.4\))
Start date 2020-03-24 (1st day with 0.1 dead per million)
Latest number $5$ on 2020-06-05
Start date 2020-03-20 (1st day with 1 active per million)
Latest number $292$ on 2020-06-05